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HomeMy WebLinkAbout04- April 11 2014 Meeting Materials4/29/2014
County Administrator's
Operating Budget Overview Presentation
• Where We've Been
• How We Handled the Gap
• Sustainability Model: FY15-FY18 Options
Pre Great Recession: Oct. `02 - Sept. `07
5 FYs Impacted: FY03 - FY07: Boom Period
• Property Values Spiked Up: +9% - +39%
• No Operating Gap
• Expansion of Budget - Operations
- Staffing Levels
- New Departments
- Salary Increases
- Constitutional-Judicial Agencies Funding Boosts
- Capital Infrastructure Program
*June 2007: State Tax Reform
Adopted in Special Session
1
4/29/2014
~~t~~ ~ -s~~T~ Grea~ Recession: Oct. `08 - Sept. `10
m~ ~~ 2 FYs Impacted: FY08 - FY09
• Property Values Dropped: +5% - -12.5%
• Operating Revenue Dropped
o Operating Reserves Created: Substantial Funding
• Operating Gap FY09 - $12.8M
Covered by Underspending
• Contraction of Budget - Operations
- Reduced Service Hours: e.g. Libraries, Museums, etc.
- Salary Freezes
- Frozen Positions
- Non-Profit Agencies
- Leave Incentives
• January 2008: Amendment 1 Passed
- Additional Homestead Exemption
- Tangible Personal Property Exemption
- Save Our Home Portability
- 10% Cap on Non-Homestead Property
2
4/29/2014
Post Great Recession: Oct. `10 - Sept. `14
5 FYs Impacted To Date: FY10 - FY14
• Property Values Significant Drops:
- FY10 - FY13: -21 % - -4.75%
• Significant Operating Revenue Losses
• Significant Budget - Operating Cuts
- County Operating
- Constitutionals
- Judicial Agencies
,~ ~ ~ -~~,~~~ Post Great Recession: Oct. `10 - Sept. `14
~ 5 FYs Impacted To Date: FY10 - FY14
~ Property Values: S4ight Drop-{ncrease
FY13-FY14: -1.7 - +5.37%
~ Incremental Budget Increases
- COLA
- State Mandates
- Operational Demands
• Operating Gap - Reserves used
- $57M - $14M $20M - $7.5M
• Insurance Write Down
-FY12 - FY14
$7.6M
3
4/29/2014
~"~i' L ~J,i ~' ~,r:r,,..t.
' ~
Method for Closing Gap
~Pro art ~/a ua Chan e
FY09 -'16.63% avan o ~16~1 .GM
G '12.9M
f
~~
FY90 -2~.00% Ravanue '1'15.8M
G3 a 66.8 M
'n A ro risatio
~ -:6 9
~
FY~1~" -'10.~J6% ~avonue "1'1G.OM
A ro ri t o s 4~1 GM
Ga 26.6M
Ci~an c-3 in A ~tions: -$37.OM
~
FY'12 -4.75 % Revanua '1'12.2M
A o riat o s 33 G
C3 4 M
Chan o in A ro riatlo~s -$ O
~
FY'13 -'1.72% Revanua '1'10.7M
'a io
~ '137 9
Ga 27 2
Cha c.3 {n A ria[fons~ !$4.3M
~
FY~4 5.37% Revanue ~h9.2M
ro r atio s '133.3M
Ga '14.'1 M
Cl~an~la ir~ Appropriations: . I-$4.GM .
~
In FY'1'1, eF~a millaga rato in tF-~a Genaral Fund and Fina~~~BForfaitura Fund wara~ ~
incraaead as follows: i
Millapa Rafa Incraasa I .
Ganaral Fund ~ 0.90'131 9,4C-a9,573
Fina 8. f=orfeitura o.5742! R.~s.4.ss~
Tofal . O. G765 ~'. 9, 74G, 226
Tax Incraase par $900,000 of Proparty ~/alu~ $67.55 I
i
4/29/2014
Operating Budget
3-Year Projections Summary
FY15 - FY17
Assumptions:
Expenditures:
- 3% COLAAnnually
- Insurance Premium Increases
Revenues:
- State Projections
4.1 %; 4.2%; 4.7%
- Shift of Stormwater Millage
3 YearliExpenditures Projection
3-Year i l nsurance Write Down
3-Year;Adjusted Expenditure Projection
3-Year,;Revenues Projection
3-Year Gap Amount
3-Year Revenue Variance
3-Year;Adjusted Gap Amount
3-Year"One-Time Capital
3-Year~"Ending Fund Balance Projection
Operating Budget
General Fund - Fine & Forfeiture
3-Year Summary: FY15 - FY17
$430,347,088 ' '
-$6,958,292 ' '
$423,388,796
$378,180,715 '
-$45,208,081
$8,869,389 '
-$36,338,692 ,
~.~ ! Projected Fund Balance Available
~`•~~ "End of FY14: 9/3012014 ,
.~~',
! ~ ' 45 343 865'.
~9,005,173'
$5,341,491'
$3,663,682
5
4/29/2014
FY18 Projected Operating Budget
Snapshot
; Operating Revenues
Operating Expenses
Gap
,
Millag Rate to Close Gap
Tax Increase Per $100,000 of Property Value
FY18
$137,900,812
-$147,245,078
_$9,344,266
0.5426
$54.26
6
4/29/2014 8:16 AM
Stormwater Millage Shifts
~~ Mosquito Control Fund ; General Fund
Mi(lage 5hift '', $ (0.1600);
_ __ __ ~ (0.0540)
_
$ Shift $ (2,491,440} $ (841,016)
' Less 5% ! $ 124,572 $ 42,051
Net Shift ' $
(2, 366, 868~ ;; $ ( 798,966)
4/z9/zmq
Stormwater Millage Shifts
_ _ _
_ _ __
Stormwater Fund
_ _ _ _ __
Stormwater Fund
.. ,__ _ __ __ _ .
Stormwater Fund'
_
fram Mosquito from GF Total '
IMiilage Shift $ 0.3807 0.1234' 0.5041
$ Shift $ 2,491,440 $ 841,016 $ 3,332,456
~.ess S% ' $ (124,572) $ ~42,Q5~.) $ (166,623).
NetShift
_ $ 2,366,868
_ _ . _ $ 798,966 $ 3,165,$33 '
_ _ _
4~29~im4
1
~
~~J~'Y~C• `~
1
~ ~~
' ~~
•. Gt- ~~ ' ~~~~`
~ ~,~I~J~ _ ~
~t ~r~~t ~e~~ FY10 - FY~ ~
~~., k Pfl
: ~ted T~ ~~te:
-=--=-~-~ ~ F~(s ~m'p~ -i ncreas~
alu~~~ ~~~~~t Dr~~ o
• P rope~~ ~ _ +5 .37 ~~
~4: -1.7
FY 13-~Y ~reaSes
~ntal Budget in
. ~ ncrem
_ COLA
- State Mandates
iona~ ~~mands
- ~perat Funding
-Time Gap-tal erves used
_ pne ~, Res
. ~rating ~ap 2~~ _ ~7.5M
C~p $
~ _ 57M _ $~I 4M
~ pawn
Insuran~~ Wr~te
0
_FY 12 - ~Y ~ 4
~7,6M
GF & FF Combined
3eginning Fund Balance
Jperating Revenues
Jperating Expenses (
Subtotal Operating Gap-Surplus
Gap as a% of Operating Expenses
~apital One-Time Items
'rojected Revenue/(Expense) Variance
Ending Operating Fund 8alance, ,
=k 09 Operating Fund Balance Peak Level
4ssamptions;
~evenues;
Millage Rate
State Projected Value Increase
Tax Revenuelncrease
OtherRevenue Changes
3ubtotal Revenue Increase:
=spenses;
COLA (3%);
BOCC
Constitutional
COLA Total
Other Operating Increases:
iubtotaf Expenses:
Available fnsurance Reserves Balance
Insurance Write~Down
'fotal Insurance Reserve Balance
FY 12 Beginning Balance Insurance Reserve:
(FY15 Budget Process) (FY16 Budget Process~ (FY17 BudgetPracess) ~FY18 Budget Process)
2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY
10/2013-9f2414 10/2014-9/2015 10/2015-9/2016 10/2016-9/2017
~ Si/2014 ~ 11/2015 ~ 11/2016 ~ ~ ~
~ Election • 2 Seats No Election - 0 5eats Election - 3 Seats ~' ~~
FY14 Projected Actual FY15 Tentative Budget FY16 Tentative Budget FY17 Tentative Budget Notes:
57,216,941 45,3A3,865 31,091,738 15,577,763
122,601,552 122,669,113 125,191,040 130,320,562 • In our projections, we have included a projected variance, which reflects;
130,066,474) (137,889,210) (141,135,164) (144,364,422) a collecting 96% of ad valorem taxes
o collecting 100% of other anticipated revenues
(7,464,922) (15,220,097) (15,944,124) (14,043,86~) o estimated savings that can he reasanably expected through attrition
6% 11% 11% 10% o othersavings
. (4,408,154) (2,035,121) (2,500,379) (805,991)
- 3,003,091 2,930,528 2,935,770
~,~
6,8920
4,531,088
997,212 598,989
287,589 1,326,217
2,284,801
- 11,805,202
- (2,582,447
11,805,202
31,091;738 15,577,763
6.8380 6,8380
4.1% 4.2%
3,216,605 4,248,455
223,315 (1,726,528)
3,439,920 2,521,927
616,959
1,366,004
1,925,206 1,982,963
2,661,329 1,777,991
4,586,535 3,760,954
9,222,755
(2,282,787)
9,222,755 6,939,968
94,000,000
635,468
6,939,968
6.8380
4,7%
4,953,901
175,621
5,129,522
2,042,452
2,120,306
4,162,758
• $798,966 of the tax revenue decrease in FY 15 is from a 0.0540
miilage shift to the Stormwater MSTU.
~ $1,9 M transfer of revenue to Transp Trust starting in FY 16.
• Expenses are artificially low by the amount of the insurance write down.
4,846,910
15,140,725